In the easiest terms, if you are aware that, on average, a team scores 1.2 goals per game, the Poisson says that the same team has a 30 percent chance of not scoring in a given game (see Chart 1). There will be tables of comparable Poisson probabilities in the appendices of your old maths textbooks (if you can be bothered to dig them out), but I wouldn't recommend using them. Using an Excel spreadsheet is far simpler to use than these calculations. It has a Poisson function built-in and is very easy to set up. Just refer to the manual, feed in the mean goals for each team, and let the computer do the work.
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Correct Score Prediction Tips
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